Best Bets of the Weekend: Premier League Matchday 2

Fulham forward Aleksandar Mitrovic is confident he has the ability to succeed in the Premier League following his spell at Newcastle.

We’ve got 20/1 and 8/1 picks among our best bets for this season’s second round of Premier League action, with Aleksandar Mitrovic tipped to continue his good record against Spurs.


Banker of the Weekend: Newcastle to beat Cardiff at 29/20
All may not be well at Newcastle off the field, but they look good value to take the three points here at almost 6/4. Cardiff were well beaten at Bournemouth on the opening weekend, while the Magpies were pretty unlucky to lose on the opening day against Tottenham. Spurs’ first goal was something of a freak. Most encouragingly for Newcastle, theirs was not just a back-to-the-wall display of guts and bravery against Spurs. They went toe to toe with an elite Premier League team and with a bit more composure or luck in front of goal – twice in the second half they hit the frame of the goal – could have taken at least a point. Cardiff represent a significant drop in grade. Newcastle have won their last 10 league games against the Bluebirds. What relevance that has here is questionable, but like the evidence from last weekend it only points one way.


Long Shot of the Weekend: Fulham to beat Tottenham (draw no bet) at 8/1
Tottenham weren’t at all convincing in the victory over Newcastle, and the atmosphere at Wembley could be febrile after confirmation that the opening of their new stadium has been delayed. The situation has not been well handled by the club, with the fans feeling undervalued and unappreciated. With key members of the squad still clearly weary from their World Cup exploits and fans unhappy, it could prove a tricky afternoon for Spurs at the national stadium, where Fulham have happy recent memories of the Championship play-off final in May. The 8/1 draw-no-bet price, meanwhile, is clearly better value than the 9/1 outright if only out of respect for Tottenham’s form against teams outside the ‘big six’. Since the start of the 2016/17 season they’ve lost only three out of 57 such matches, none of them at home. But one of those defeats was as recently as May, against relegated West Brom, and they were held to home draws last season by two teams who ultimately suffered relegation – Swansea and West Brom again – as well as West Ham.


Goalscorer of the Weekend: Aleksandar Mitrovic to score anytime against Spurs at 3/1
Scored in both his games against Spurs for Newcastle in the 2015/16 season and looks a big price here given his exploits for Fulham in the second half of last season. Tottenham’s usually rock-solid defence looked decidedly shaky at Newcastle on the opening weekend; even if Spurs do end up taking the points in this one there could well be chances for Fulham along the way.


Acca of the Weekend: Newcastle to beat Cardiff, Burnley to beat Watford, Chelsea and Arsenal to draw at 20.82/1
The case for Newcastle has been made above, while Burnley did the double over Watford last season and the Hornets have lost 11 and drawn one of their last 12 Premier League away games, failing to even score a goal in the last eight of those. Chelsea and Arsenal had very contrasting results against very contrasting opponents on the opening weekend. More relevant is the fact that four of their last five meetings have ended all-square – there are two 0-0s in that sequence which makes a single on no goalscorer at 12/1 also worth considering.